Baden vs Wettswil-Bonstetten Prediction & Preview
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1 LIGA CLASSIC (SWITZERLAND)
Baden vs Wettswil-Bonstetten
Model pick: Baden (93%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.69 – 0.53
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Baden | Wettswil-Bonstetten |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.25 / 1.75 |
*Baden shown at home, Wettswil-Bonstetten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Baden — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 8% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Wettswil-Bonstetten — last 5
LWLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Baden (home) | Wettswil-Bonstetten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 8% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 72%
Use these 1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.69 vs 0.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Baden or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Wettswil-Bonstetten or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Baden clean sheet | 59% |
| Wettswil-Bonstetten clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Baden is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. Baden are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Baden vs Wettswil-Bonstetten — FAQ
Who will win Baden vs Wettswil-Bonstetten?
Our statistical model makes Baden the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: Baden 93%, draw 5%, Wettswil-Bonstetten 2%.
Will both teams score in Baden vs Wettswil-Bonstetten?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Baden vs Wettswil-Bonstetten?
Expected goals are 4.69 for Baden and 0.53 for Wettswil-Bonstetten — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Baden vs Wettswil-Bonstetten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (11%). Double chance for Baden or draw is 99%.