Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 10, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2
Model pick: Baerum Sportsklubb (78%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.99 – 0.7
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Baerum Sportsklubb | KFUM Oslo 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.5 / 3.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 |
*Baerum Sportsklubb shown at home, KFUM Oslo 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Baerum Sportsklubb — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
KFUM Oslo 2 — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Baerum Sportsklubb (home) | KFUM Oslo 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.99 vs 0.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Baerum Sportsklubb or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — KFUM Oslo 2 or draw (X2) | 17% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Baerum Sportsklubb clean sheet | 50% |
| KFUM Oslo 2 clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Baerum Sportsklubb is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Baerum Sportsklubb are backed at home, where they average 6.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 — FAQ
Who will win Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2?
Our statistical model makes Baerum Sportsklubb the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Baerum Sportsklubb 78%, draw 14%, KFUM Oslo 2 8%.
Will both teams score in Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2?
Expected goals are 2.99 for Baerum Sportsklubb and 0.7 for KFUM Oslo 2 — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Baerum Sportsklubb or draw is 94%.