Balatonalmadi SE vs Tatabanya Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Balatonalmadi SE vs Tatabanya
Model pick: Tatabanya (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.49 – 1.58
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Balatonalmadi SE | Tatabanya |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 3.25 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*Balatonalmadi SE shown at home, Tatabanya shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Balatonalmadi SE — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Tatabanya — last 5
LWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Balatonalmadi SE (home) | Tatabanya (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 75% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.49 vs 1.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (20%) |
| Double chance — Balatonalmadi SE or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Tatabanya or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Balatonalmadi SE clean sheet | 21% |
| Tatabanya clean sheet | 61% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tatabanya is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Tatabanya edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Balatonalmadi SE vs Tatabanya — FAQ
Who will win Balatonalmadi SE vs Tatabanya?
Our statistical model makes Tatabanya the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Balatonalmadi SE 14%, draw 26%, Tatabanya 60%.
Will both teams score in Balatonalmadi SE vs Tatabanya?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Balatonalmadi SE vs Tatabanya?
Expected goals are 0.49 for Balatonalmadi SE and 1.58 for Tatabanya — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Balatonalmadi SE vs Tatabanya?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (20%). Double chance for Balatonalmadi SE or draw is 36%.