Balingen vs Reutlingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Balingen vs Reutlingen
Model pick: Reutlingen (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.97 – 3.01
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Balingen | Reutlingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 3.33 | 1.33 / 1.67 |
*Balingen shown at home, Reutlingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Balingen — last 5
LLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Reutlingen — last 5
LWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Balingen (home) | Reutlingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.97 vs 3.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (9%) |
| Double chance — Balingen or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — Reutlingen or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Balingen clean sheet | 5% |
| Reutlingen clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Reutlingen is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Despite playing away, Reutlingen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Balingen vs Reutlingen — FAQ
Who will win Balingen vs Reutlingen?
Our statistical model makes Reutlingen the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Balingen 12%, draw 16%, Reutlingen 73%.
Will both teams score in Balingen vs Reutlingen?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Balingen vs Reutlingen?
Expected goals are 0.97 for Balingen and 3.01 for Reutlingen — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Balingen vs Reutlingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (9%). Double chance for Balingen or draw is 22%.