Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II
Model pick: Draw (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.85 – 0.78
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Balkan Botevgrad | Levski Sofia II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*Balkan Botevgrad shown at home, Levski Sofia II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Balkan Botevgrad — last 5
LLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Levski Sofia II — last 5
LWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Balkan Botevgrad (home) | Levski Sofia II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.85 vs 0.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Balkan Botevgrad or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Levski Sofia II or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Balkan Botevgrad clean sheet | 46% |
| Levski Sofia II clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II — FAQ
Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Balkan Botevgrad 34%, draw 35%, Levski Sofia II 31%.
Will both teams score in Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?
Expected goals are 0.85 for Balkan Botevgrad and 0.78 for Levski Sofia II — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (20%). Double chance for Balkan Botevgrad or draw is 69%.