Baltika 2 vs Murom Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Baltika 2 vs Murom
Model pick: Baltika 2 (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.21 – 2.31
Total goals: 5.5
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Baltika 2 | Murom |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.5 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Baltika 2 shown at home, Murom shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Baltika 2 — last 5
WW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Murom — last 5
WWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Baltika 2 (home) | Murom (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.21 vs 2.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Baltika 2 or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Murom or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Baltika 2 clean sheet | 10% |
| Murom clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Baltika 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Baltika 2 are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.5, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Baltika 2 vs Murom — FAQ
Who will win Baltika 2 vs Murom?
Our statistical model makes Baltika 2 the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Baltika 2 53%, draw 18%, Murom 29%.
Will both teams score in Baltika 2 vs Murom?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Baltika 2 vs Murom?
Expected goals are 3.21 for Baltika 2 and 2.31 for Murom — about 5.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Baltika 2 vs Murom?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-2 (6%). Double chance for Baltika 2 or draw is 73%.