Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie
Model pick: Draw (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.22 – 0.21
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 7%
Both teams score: 19%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Baltyk Koszalin | Swinoujscie |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.67 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Baltyk Koszalin shown at home, Swinoujscie shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Baltyk Koszalin — last 5
WLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Swinoujscie — last 5
LLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Baltyk Koszalin (home) | Swinoujscie (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.22 vs 0.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (65%) |
| Double chance — Baltyk Koszalin or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Swinoujscie or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 32% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Baltyk Koszalin clean sheet | 81% |
| Swinoujscie clean sheet | 80% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (93% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie — FAQ
Who will win Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Baltyk Koszalin 19%, draw 63%, Swinoujscie 18%.
Will both teams score in Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie?
The model gives a 19% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie?
Expected goals are 0.22 for Baltyk Koszalin and 0.21 for Swinoujscie — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (65%). Double chance for Baltyk Koszalin or draw is 84%.