Bamberg vs Regensburg II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Bamberg vs Regensburg II
Model pick: Draw (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.56 – 0.16
Total goals: 0.7
Over 2.5: 14%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bamberg | Regensburg II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
*Bamberg shown at home, Regensburg II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bamberg — last 5
LWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Regensburg II — last 5
LDDDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bamberg (home) | Regensburg II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.56 vs 0.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (49%) |
| Double chance — Bamberg or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Regensburg II or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 47% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Bamberg clean sheet | 85% |
| Regensburg II clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (86% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bamberg vs Regensburg II — FAQ
Who will win Bamberg vs Regensburg II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Bamberg 38%, draw 51%, Regensburg II 11%.
Will both teams score in Bamberg vs Regensburg II?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bamberg vs Regensburg II?
Expected goals are 0.56 for Bamberg and 0.16 for Regensburg II — about 0.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bamberg vs Regensburg II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (49%). Double chance for Bamberg or draw is 91%.