Bamberg vs Wurzburger FV Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Bamberg vs Wurzburger FV
Model pick: Bamberg (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.25 – 0.39
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bamberg | Wurzburger FV |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 1.25 |
*Bamberg shown at home, Wurzburger FV shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bamberg — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Wurzburger FV — last 5
DWLD
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bamberg (home) | Wurzburger FV (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.25 vs 0.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Bamberg or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Wurzburger FV or draw (X2) | 20% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Bamberg clean sheet | 68% |
| Wurzburger FV clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bamberg is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Bamberg are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bamberg vs Wurzburger FV — FAQ
Who will win Bamberg vs Wurzburger FV?
Our statistical model makes Bamberg the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Bamberg 75%, draw 18%, Wurzburger FV 7%.
Will both teams score in Bamberg vs Wurzburger FV?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bamberg vs Wurzburger FV?
Expected goals are 2.25 for Bamberg and 0.39 for Wurzburger FV — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bamberg vs Wurzburger FV?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (18%). Double chance for Bamberg or draw is 95%.