Banga vs Sūduva Prediction & Preview
A Lyga (Lithuania) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 15:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
A LYGA (LITHUANIA)
Banga vs Sūduva
Model pick: Sūduva (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.11
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Banga | Sūduva |
|---|
| League position | #5 (33 pts) | #6 (33 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.0 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Banga shown at home, Sūduva shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Banga — last 5
WDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Sūduva — last 5
WDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Banga (home) | Sūduva (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-2 in 9 (1.6 / 1.0 goals per game) | 2-4-3 in 9 (1.1 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 58% |
A Lyga (Lithuania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.64
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 47%
Use these A Lyga (Lithuania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.94 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Banga or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Sūduva or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Banga clean sheet | 33% |
| Sūduva clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sūduva is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Sūduva edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Banga vs Sūduva — FAQ
Who will win Banga vs Sūduva?
Our statistical model makes Sūduva the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Banga 31%, draw 31%, Sūduva 38%.
Will both teams score in Banga vs Sūduva?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Banga vs Sūduva?
Expected goals are 0.94 for Banga and 1.11 for Sūduva — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Banga vs Sūduva?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Banga or draw is 61%.