Banik Most-Sous vs Horni Redice Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Banik Most-Sous vs Horni Redice
Model pick: Banik Most-Sous (89%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.0 – 0.14
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Banik Most-Sous | Horni Redice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
*Banik Most-Sous shown at home, Horni Redice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Banik Most-Sous — last 5
WWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Horni Redice — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Banik Most-Sous (home) | Horni Redice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.0 vs 0.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Banik Most-Sous or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Horni Redice or draw (X2) | 7% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Banik Most-Sous clean sheet | 87% |
| Horni Redice clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Banik Most-Sous is the model's most likely outcome at
89%. Banik Most-Sous are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Banik Most-Sous vs Horni Redice — FAQ
Who will win Banik Most-Sous vs Horni Redice?
Our statistical model makes Banik Most-Sous the most likely result at 89%. Full probabilities: Banik Most-Sous 89%, draw 9%, Horni Redice 2%.
Will both teams score in Banik Most-Sous vs Horni Redice?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Banik Most-Sous vs Horni Redice?
Expected goals are 3.0 for Banik Most-Sous and 0.14 for Horni Redice — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Banik Most-Sous vs Horni Redice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (20%). Double chance for Banik Most-Sous or draw is 99%.