Bartolome Mitre vs Chivilcoy Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Bartolome Mitre vs Chivilcoy
Model pick: Chivilcoy (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.27 – 0.87
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 24%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bartolome Mitre | Chivilcoy |
|---|
| League position | #2 (26 pts) | #3 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 0.0 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 12% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
*Bartolome Mitre shown at home, Chivilcoy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bartolome Mitre — last 5
LDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Chivilcoy — last 5
DLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bartolome Mitre (home) | Chivilcoy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-0 in 8 (0.9 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-2-5 in 8 (0.6 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.95
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 21%
Over 2.5: 34%
BTTS: 35%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.27 vs 0.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (32%) |
| Double chance — Bartolome Mitre or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Chivilcoy or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Bartolome Mitre clean sheet | 42% |
| Chivilcoy clean sheet | 76% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chivilcoy is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Despite playing away, Chivilcoy edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (76% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bartolome Mitre vs Chivilcoy — FAQ
Who will win Bartolome Mitre vs Chivilcoy?
Our statistical model makes Chivilcoy the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Bartolome Mitre 13%, draw 40%, Chivilcoy 47%.
Will both teams score in Bartolome Mitre vs Chivilcoy?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bartolome Mitre vs Chivilcoy?
Expected goals are 0.27 for Bartolome Mitre and 0.87 for Chivilcoy — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bartolome Mitre vs Chivilcoy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (32%). Double chance for Bartolome Mitre or draw is 51%.