Bartolome Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Bartolome Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda
Model pick: Draw (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.48 – 0.44
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bartolome Mitre | Sarmiento de La Banda |
|---|
| League position | #2 (26 pts) | #4 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 0.0 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 0.67 | 0.75 / 1.25 |
*Bartolome Mitre shown at home, Sarmiento de La Banda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bartolome Mitre — last 5
WLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Sarmiento de La Banda — last 5
LLWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bartolome Mitre (home) | Sarmiento de La Banda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-0 in 8 (0.9 / 0.0 goals per game) | 2-1-4 in 7 (0.7 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.02
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 19%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.48 vs 0.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (40%) |
| Double chance — Bartolome Mitre or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Sarmiento de La Banda or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 51% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Bartolome Mitre clean sheet | 64% |
| Sarmiento de La Banda clean sheet | 62% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Bartolome Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda — FAQ
Who will win Bartolome Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Bartolome Mitre 28%, draw 46%, Sarmiento de La Banda 26%.
Will both teams score in Bartolome Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bartolome Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Expected goals are 0.48 for Bartolome Mitre and 0.44 for Sarmiento de La Banda — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bartolome Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (40%). Double chance for Bartolome Mitre or draw is 76%.