Basel vs Sion Prediction & Preview
Super League (Switzerland) · Sep 03, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Basel vs Sion
Model pick: Basel (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.64 – 1.11
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Basel | Sion |
|---|
| League position | #30 (6 pts) | #5 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 2.6 |
*Basel shown at home, Sion shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Basel — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Sion — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Basel (home) | Sion (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-2 in 4 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 60% |
| Top scorer | – | Rilind Nivokazi (13) |
Super League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Super League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.64 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Basel or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Sion or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Basel clean sheet | 33% |
| Sion clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Basel is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Basel are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Basel vs Sion — FAQ
Who will win Basel vs Sion?
Our statistical model makes Basel the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Basel 47%, draw 26%, Sion 27%.
Will both teams score in Basel vs Sion?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Basel vs Sion?
Expected goals are 1.64 for Basel and 1.11 for Sion — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Basel vs Sion?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Basel or draw is 74%.