Bath City vs Hanworth Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Bath City vs Hanworth
Model pick: Hanworth (55%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 2.03
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bath City | Hanworth |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 0.8 |
*Bath City shown at home, Hanworth shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bath City — last 5
LDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Hanworth — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bath City (home) | Hanworth (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 2.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Bath City or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — Hanworth or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Bath City clean sheet | 13% |
| Hanworth clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hanworth is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Hanworth edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Bath City vs Hanworth — FAQ
Who will win Bath City vs Hanworth?
Our statistical model makes Hanworth the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Bath City 22%, draw 23%, Hanworth 55%.
Will both teams score in Bath City vs Hanworth?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bath City vs Hanworth?
Expected goals are 1.11 for Bath City and 2.03 for Hanworth — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bath City vs Hanworth?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Bath City or draw is 41%.