Bath City vs Uxbridge Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Bath City vs Uxbridge
Model pick: Bath City (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bath City | Uxbridge |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 2.5 / 1.25 |
*Bath City shown at home, Uxbridge shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bath City — last 5
LWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Uxbridge — last 5
WWDW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bath City (home) | Uxbridge (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Bath City or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Uxbridge or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Bath City clean sheet | 39% |
| Uxbridge clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bath City is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Bath City are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bath City vs Uxbridge — FAQ
Who will win Bath City vs Uxbridge?
Our statistical model makes Bath City the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Bath City 47%, draw 28%, Uxbridge 25%.
Will both teams score in Bath City vs Uxbridge?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bath City vs Uxbridge?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Bath City and 0.93 for Uxbridge — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bath City vs Uxbridge?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Bath City or draw is 76%.