Baunatal vs CSC 03 Kassel Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Baunatal vs CSC 03 Kassel
Model pick: Baunatal (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.54
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Baunatal | CSC 03 Kassel |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
*Baunatal shown at home, CSC 03 Kassel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Baunatal — last 5
DLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
CSC 03 Kassel — last 5
LWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Baunatal (home) | CSC 03 Kassel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.62 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Baunatal or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — CSC 03 Kassel or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Baunatal clean sheet | 21% |
| CSC 03 Kassel clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Baunatal is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Baunatal are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Baunatal vs CSC 03 Kassel — FAQ
Who will win Baunatal vs CSC 03 Kassel?
Our statistical model makes Baunatal the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Baunatal 39%, draw 25%, CSC 03 Kassel 36%.
Will both teams score in Baunatal vs CSC 03 Kassel?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Baunatal vs CSC 03 Kassel?
Expected goals are 1.62 for Baunatal and 1.54 for CSC 03 Kassel — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Baunatal vs CSC 03 Kassel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Baunatal or draw is 64%.