Baunatal vs Darmstadt U21 Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Baunatal vs Darmstadt U21
Model pick: Darmstadt U21 (78%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.37 – 2.43
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Baunatal | Darmstadt U21 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 |
*Baunatal shown at home, Darmstadt U21 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Baunatal — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Darmstadt U21 — last 5
WD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Baunatal (home) | Darmstadt U21 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.37 vs 2.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (18%) |
| Double chance — Baunatal or draw (1X) | 17% |
| Double chance — Darmstadt U21 or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Baunatal clean sheet | 9% |
| Darmstadt U21 clean sheet | 69% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Darmstadt U21 is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Despite playing away, Darmstadt U21 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Baunatal vs Darmstadt U21 — FAQ
Who will win Baunatal vs Darmstadt U21?
Our statistical model makes Darmstadt U21 the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Baunatal 6%, draw 16%, Darmstadt U21 78%.
Will both teams score in Baunatal vs Darmstadt U21?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Baunatal vs Darmstadt U21?
Expected goals are 0.37 for Baunatal and 2.43 for Darmstadt U21 — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Baunatal vs Darmstadt U21?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (18%). Double chance for Baunatal or draw is 17%.