Bayern München II vs Memmingen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bayern München II vs Memmingen
Model pick: Memmingen (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.41 – 1.4
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bayern München II | Memmingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Bayern München II shown at home, Memmingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bayern München II — last 5
LLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Memmingen — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bayern München II (home) | Memmingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 33% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.41 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (23%) |
| Double chance — Bayern München II or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — Memmingen or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Bayern München II clean sheet | 25% |
| Memmingen clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Memmingen is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Memmingen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bayern München II vs Memmingen — FAQ
Who will win Bayern München II vs Memmingen?
Our statistical model makes Memmingen the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Bayern München II 13%, draw 29%, Memmingen 58%.
Will both teams score in Bayern München II vs Memmingen?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bayern München II vs Memmingen?
Expected goals are 0.41 for Bayern München II and 1.4 for Memmingen — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bayern München II vs Memmingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (23%). Double chance for Bayern München II or draw is 38%.