Bayern München II vs Schweinfurt Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bayern München II vs Schweinfurt
Model pick: Schweinfurt (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.23 – 6.66
Total goals: 6.9
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bayern München II | Schweinfurt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.8 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
*Bayern München II shown at home, Schweinfurt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bayern München II — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Schweinfurt — last 5
LWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 76% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bayern München II (home) | Schweinfurt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 76% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.23 vs 6.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-6 (16%) |
| Double chance — Bayern München II or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Schweinfurt or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Bayern München II clean sheet | 0% |
| Schweinfurt clean sheet | 79% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schweinfurt is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Despite playing away, Schweinfurt edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.9, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bayern München II vs Schweinfurt — FAQ
Who will win Bayern München II vs Schweinfurt?
Our statistical model makes Schweinfurt the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Bayern München II 0%, draw 1%, Schweinfurt 99%.
Will both teams score in Bayern München II vs Schweinfurt?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bayern München II vs Schweinfurt?
Expected goals are 0.23 for Bayern München II and 6.66 for Schweinfurt — about 6.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bayern München II vs Schweinfurt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-6 (16%). Double chance for Bayern München II or draw is 0%.