Bayreuth vs Memmingen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bayreuth vs Memmingen
Model pick: Draw (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.36 – 0.17
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 9%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bayreuth | Memmingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 2.0 |
*Bayreuth shown at home, Memmingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bayreuth — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Memmingen — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bayreuth (home) | Memmingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 0% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.36 vs 0.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (59%) |
| Double chance — Bayreuth or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Memmingen or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 37% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Bayreuth clean sheet | 84% |
| Memmingen clean sheet | 70% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (91% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bayreuth vs Memmingen — FAQ
Who will win Bayreuth vs Memmingen?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Bayreuth 28%, draw 59%, Memmingen 14%.
Will both teams score in Bayreuth vs Memmingen?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bayreuth vs Memmingen?
Expected goals are 0.36 for Bayreuth and 0.17 for Memmingen — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bayreuth vs Memmingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (59%). Double chance for Bayreuth or draw is 89%.