BB Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
BB Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor
Model pick: Konyaspor (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.33
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| BB Erzurumspor | Konyaspor |
|---|
| League position | #17 (1 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*BB Erzurumspor shown at home, Konyaspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
BB Erzurumspor — last 5
WDLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Konyaspor — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | BB Erzurumspor (home) | Konyaspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Eren Tozlu (17) | Enis Bardhi (1) |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 1.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — BB Erzurumspor or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Konyaspor or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| BB Erzurumspor clean sheet | 26% |
| Konyaspor clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Konyaspor is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Konyaspor edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ BB Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor — FAQ
Who will win BB Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor?
Our statistical model makes Konyaspor the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: BB Erzurumspor 29%, draw 29%, Konyaspor 42%.
Will both teams score in BB Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in BB Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor?
Expected goals are 1.0 for BB Erzurumspor and 1.33 for Konyaspor — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in BB Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for BB Erzurumspor or draw is 56%.