Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor
Model pick: Beşiktaş (65%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.83 – 0.86
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Beşiktaş | Eyüpspor |
|---|
| League position | #9 (0 pts) | #6 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*Beşiktaş shown at home, Eyüpspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Beşiktaş — last 5
DLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Eyüpspor — last 5
DWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Beşiktaş (home) | Eyüpspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 51% |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.83 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Beşiktaş or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Eyüpspor or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Beşiktaş clean sheet | 42% |
| Eyüpspor clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Beşiktaş is the model's most likely outcome at
65%. Beşiktaş are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor — FAQ
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor?
Our statistical model makes Beşiktaş the most likely result at 65%. Full probabilities: Beşiktaş 65%, draw 20%, Eyüpspor 14%.
Will both teams score in Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor?
Expected goals are 1.83 for Beşiktaş and 0.86 for Eyüpspor — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Beşiktaş or draw is 83%.