Bedrichov vs Havlickuv Brod Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Bedrichov vs Havlickuv Brod
Model pick: Draw (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.3 – 0.04
Total goals: 0.3
Over 2.5: 5%
Both teams score: 12%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bedrichov | Havlickuv Brod |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 1.0 | 1.67 / 2.0 |
*Bedrichov shown at home, Havlickuv Brod shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bedrichov — last 5
LDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Havlickuv Brod — last 5
WLL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bedrichov (home) | Havlickuv Brod (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.3 vs 0.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (71%) |
| Double chance — Bedrichov or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Havlickuv Brod or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 28% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Bedrichov clean sheet | 96% |
| Havlickuv Brod clean sheet | 74% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (95% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bedrichov vs Havlickuv Brod — FAQ
Who will win Bedrichov vs Havlickuv Brod?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Bedrichov 27%, draw 68%, Havlickuv Brod 5%.
Will both teams score in Bedrichov vs Havlickuv Brod?
The model gives a 12% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bedrichov vs Havlickuv Brod?
Expected goals are 0.3 for Bedrichov and 0.04 for Havlickuv Brod — about 0.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bedrichov vs Havlickuv Brod?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (71%). Double chance for Bedrichov or draw is 97%.