Beerschot-Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden Prediction & Preview
Second Division (Belgium) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SECOND DIVISION (BELGIUM)
Beerschot-Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden
Model pick: Beerschot-Wilrijk (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Beerschot-Wilrijk | Patro Eisden |
|---|
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Beerschot-Wilrijk shown at home, Patro Eisden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Beerschot-Wilrijk — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Patro Eisden — last 5
WLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Beerschot-Wilrijk (home) | Patro Eisden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Ensar Brahic (2) | – |
Second Division (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Second Division (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.29 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Beerschot-Wilrijk or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Patro Eisden or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Beerschot-Wilrijk clean sheet | 36% |
| Patro Eisden clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Beerschot-Wilrijk is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Beerschot-Wilrijk are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Beerschot-Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden — FAQ
Who will win Beerschot-Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden?
Our statistical model makes Beerschot-Wilrijk the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Beerschot-Wilrijk 42%, draw 29%, Patro Eisden 30%.
Will both teams score in Beerschot-Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Beerschot-Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden?
Expected goals are 1.29 for Beerschot-Wilrijk and 1.01 for Patro Eisden — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Beerschot-Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Beerschot-Wilrijk or draw is 71%.