Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 06, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien
Model pick: Beitar Jerusalem (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.9 – 2.37
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Beitar Jerusalem | Austria Wien |
|---|
| League position | #1 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 3.0 / 0.6 |
*Beitar Jerusalem shown at home, Austria Wien shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Beitar Jerusalem — last 5
DWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Austria Wien — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Beitar Jerusalem (home) | Austria Wien (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 55% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.9 vs 2.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (11%) |
| Double chance — Beitar Jerusalem or draw (1X) | 30% |
| Double chance — Austria Wien or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet | 9% |
| Austria Wien clean sheet | 41% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Beitar Jerusalem is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Beitar Jerusalem are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien — FAQ
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien?
Our statistical model makes Beitar Jerusalem the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Beitar Jerusalem 40%, draw 24%, Austria Wien 36%.
Will both teams score in Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien?
Expected goals are 0.9 for Beitar Jerusalem and 2.37 for Austria Wien — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (11%). Double chance for Beitar Jerusalem or draw is 30%.