Beith vs Troon FC Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Beith vs Troon FC
Model pick: Beith (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.4 – 0.99
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Beith | Troon FC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 2.25 | 1.5 / 2.0 |
*Beith shown at home, Troon FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Beith — last 5
WDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Troon FC — last 5
LLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Beith (home) | Troon FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.46
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.4 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Beith or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Troon FC or draw (X2) | 31% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Beith clean sheet | 37% |
| Troon FC clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Beith is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Beith are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Beith vs Troon FC — FAQ
Who will win Beith vs Troon FC?
Our statistical model makes Beith the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Beith 64%, draw 20%, Troon FC 16%.
Will both teams score in Beith vs Troon FC?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Beith vs Troon FC?
Expected goals are 2.4 for Beith and 0.99 for Troon FC — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Beith vs Troon FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Beith or draw is 86%.