Bekescsaba 1912 vs ESMTK Budapest Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Bekescsaba 1912 vs ESMTK Budapest
Model pick: ESMTK Budapest (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.56 – 1.0
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bekescsaba 1912 | ESMTK Budapest |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*Bekescsaba 1912 shown at home, ESMTK Budapest shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bekescsaba 1912 — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
ESMTK Budapest — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bekescsaba 1912 (home) | ESMTK Budapest (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.56 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Bekescsaba 1912 or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — ESMTK Budapest or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Bekescsaba 1912 clean sheet | 37% |
| ESMTK Budapest clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ESMTK Budapest is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, ESMTK Budapest edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bekescsaba 1912 vs ESMTK Budapest — FAQ
Who will win Bekescsaba 1912 vs ESMTK Budapest?
Our statistical model makes ESMTK Budapest the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Bekescsaba 1912 22%, draw 35%, ESMTK Budapest 44%.
Will both teams score in Bekescsaba 1912 vs ESMTK Budapest?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bekescsaba 1912 vs ESMTK Budapest?
Expected goals are 0.56 for Bekescsaba 1912 and 1.0 for ESMTK Budapest — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bekescsaba 1912 vs ESMTK Budapest?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (21%). Double chance for Bekescsaba 1912 or draw is 55%.