Benatky n. Jiz. vs Neratovice Prediction & Preview
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECHIA CUP (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Benatky n. Jiz. vs Neratovice
Model pick: Neratovice (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.02 – 8.37
Total goals: 9.4
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Benatky n. Jiz. | Neratovice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 3.2 / 1.8 |
*Benatky n. Jiz. shown at home, Neratovice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Benatky n. Jiz. — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Neratovice — last 5
WWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Benatky n. Jiz. (home) | Neratovice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 75% |
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.95
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 66%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.02 vs 8.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-8 (9%) |
| Double chance — Benatky n. Jiz. or draw (1X) | 1% |
| Double chance — Neratovice or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Benatky n. Jiz. clean sheet | 0% |
| Neratovice clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Neratovice is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Despite playing away, Neratovice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 9.4, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Benatky n. Jiz. vs Neratovice — FAQ
Who will win Benatky n. Jiz. vs Neratovice?
Our statistical model makes Neratovice the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Benatky n. Jiz. 1%, draw 1%, Neratovice 98%.
Will both teams score in Benatky n. Jiz. vs Neratovice?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Benatky n. Jiz. vs Neratovice?
Expected goals are 1.02 for Benatky n. Jiz. and 8.37 for Neratovice — about 9.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Benatky n. Jiz. vs Neratovice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-8 (9%). Double chance for Benatky n. Jiz. or draw is 1%.