Benesov vs Povltavska FA Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Benesov vs Povltavska FA
Model pick: Draw (78%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.18 – 0.01
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 6%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Benesov | Povltavska FA |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Benesov shown at home, Povltavska FA shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Benesov — last 5
WDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Povltavska FA — last 5
DWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Benesov (home) | Povltavska FA (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.18 vs 0.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (83%) |
| Double chance — Benesov or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Povltavska FA or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 17% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Benesov clean sheet | 99% |
| Povltavska FA clean sheet | 84% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Benesov vs Povltavska FA — FAQ
Who will win Benesov vs Povltavska FA?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Benesov 20%, draw 78%, Povltavska FA 2%.
Will both teams score in Benesov vs Povltavska FA?
The model gives a 6% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Benesov vs Povltavska FA?
Expected goals are 0.18 for Benesov and 0.01 for Povltavska FA — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Benesov vs Povltavska FA?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (83%). Double chance for Benesov or draw is 99%.