Benesov vs Sparta Prague B Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Benesov vs Sparta Prague B
Model pick: Draw (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.37 – 0.01
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 6%
Both teams score: 5%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Benesov | Sparta Prague B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
*Benesov shown at home, Sparta Prague B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Benesov — last 5
WDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Sparta Prague B — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Benesov (home) | Sparta Prague B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.37 vs 0.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (68%) |
| Double chance — Benesov or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Sparta Prague B or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 31% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Benesov clean sheet | 99% |
| Sparta Prague B clean sheet | 69% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (94% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Benesov vs Sparta Prague B — FAQ
Who will win Benesov vs Sparta Prague B?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Benesov 34%, draw 66%, Sparta Prague B 1%.
Will both teams score in Benesov vs Sparta Prague B?
The model gives a 5% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Benesov vs Sparta Prague B?
Expected goals are 0.37 for Benesov and 0.01 for Sparta Prague B — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Benesov vs Sparta Prague B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (68%). Double chance for Benesov or draw is 99%.