Benjamin Aceval vs 12 de Junio Prediction & Preview
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION INTERMEDIA (PARAGUAY)
Benjamin Aceval vs 12 de Junio
Model pick: 12 de Junio (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 1.98
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Benjamin Aceval | 12 de Junio |
|---|
| League position | #4 (38 pts) | #2 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Benjamin Aceval shown at home, 12 de Junio shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Benjamin Aceval — last 5
LWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
12 de Junio — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Benjamin Aceval (home) | 12 de Junio (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-2 in 10 (1.4 / 0.9 goals per game) | 7-2-1 in 10 (1.4 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 0% |
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.53
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division Intermedia (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 1.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Benjamin Aceval or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — 12 de Junio or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Benjamin Aceval clean sheet | 14% |
| 12 de Junio clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
12 de Junio is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, 12 de Junio edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Benjamin Aceval vs 12 de Junio — FAQ
Who will win Benjamin Aceval vs 12 de Junio?
Our statistical model makes 12 de Junio the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Benjamin Aceval 24%, draw 23%, 12 de Junio 53%.
Will both teams score in Benjamin Aceval vs 12 de Junio?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Benjamin Aceval vs 12 de Junio?
Expected goals are 1.17 for Benjamin Aceval and 1.98 for 12 de Junio — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Benjamin Aceval vs 12 de Junio?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Benjamin Aceval or draw is 44%.