Bezana vs Atlético Albericia Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Bezana vs Atlético Albericia
Model pick: Bezana (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.41
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bezana | Atlético Albericia |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 2.8 |
*Bezana shown at home, Atlético Albericia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bezana — last 5
DLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Atlético Albericia — last 5
WDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bezana (home) | Atlético Albericia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 57% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.49 vs 1.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Bezana or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Atlético Albericia or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Bezana clean sheet | 24% |
| Atlético Albericia clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bezana is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Bezana are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bezana vs Atlético Albericia — FAQ
Who will win Bezana vs Atlético Albericia?
Our statistical model makes Bezana the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Bezana 38%, draw 26%, Atlético Albericia 36%.
Will both teams score in Bezana vs Atlético Albericia?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bezana vs Atlético Albericia?
Expected goals are 1.49 for Bezana and 1.41 for Atlético Albericia — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bezana vs Atlético Albericia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Bezana or draw is 64%.