Bidezarra vs Beti Kozkor Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Bidezarra vs Beti Kozkor
Model pick: Bidezarra (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.28 – 0.92
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bidezarra | Beti Kozkor |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Bidezarra shown at home, Beti Kozkor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bidezarra — last 5
LWDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 32% of home games go over 2.5.
Beti Kozkor — last 5
DWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bidezarra (home) | Beti Kozkor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 44% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.28 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Bidezarra or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Beti Kozkor or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Bidezarra clean sheet | 40% |
| Beti Kozkor clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bidezarra is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Bidezarra are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Bidezarra vs Beti Kozkor — FAQ
Who will win Bidezarra vs Beti Kozkor?
Our statistical model makes Bidezarra the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Bidezarra 43%, draw 29%, Beti Kozkor 28%.
Will both teams score in Bidezarra vs Beti Kozkor?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bidezarra vs Beti Kozkor?
Expected goals are 1.28 for Bidezarra and 0.92 for Beti Kozkor — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bidezarra vs Beti Kozkor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Bidezarra or draw is 73%.