Bilovec vs Bohumin Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Bilovec vs Bohumin
Model pick: Bilovec (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.76 – 3.42
Total goals: 7.2
Over 2.5: 88%
Both teams score: 80%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bilovec | Bohumin |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 1.33 | 3.25 / 1.25 |
*Bilovec shown at home, Bohumin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bilovec — last 5
LDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Bohumin — last 5
WWLW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bilovec (home) | Bohumin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 69%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.76 vs 3.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-3 (5%) |
| Double chance — Bilovec or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Bohumin or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Bilovec clean sheet | 3% |
| Bohumin clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bilovec is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Bilovec are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.2, this shapes as an open game (88% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bilovec vs Bohumin — FAQ
Who will win Bilovec vs Bohumin?
Our statistical model makes Bilovec the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Bilovec 46%, draw 17%, Bohumin 37%.
Will both teams score in Bilovec vs Bohumin?
The model gives a 80% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bilovec vs Bohumin?
Expected goals are 3.76 for Bilovec and 3.42 for Bohumin — about 7.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bilovec vs Bohumin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-3 (5%). Double chance for Bilovec or draw is 62%.