Bizertin vs Olympique Béja Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
Bizertin vs Olympique Béja
Model pick: Bizertin (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.23 – 0.64
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bizertin | Olympique Béja |
|---|
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Bizertin shown at home, Olympique Béja shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bizertin — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Olympique Béja — last 5
WLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 27% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bizertin (home) | Olympique Béja (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 27% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 37%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.23 vs 0.64):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Bizertin or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Olympique Béja or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Bizertin clean sheet | 53% |
| Olympique Béja clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bizertin is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Bizertin are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bizertin vs Olympique Béja — FAQ
Who will win Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
Our statistical model makes Bizertin the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Bizertin 48%, draw 31%, Olympique Béja 21%.
Will both teams score in Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
Expected goals are 1.23 for Bizertin and 0.64 for Olympique Béja — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bizertin vs Olympique Béja?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Bizertin or draw is 81%.