BK Frem vs Roskilde Prediction & Preview
Denmark Cup · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DENMARK CUP
BK Frem vs Roskilde
Model pick: Roskilde (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 3.58
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| BK Frem | Roskilde |
|---|
| League position | #8 (5 pts) | #5 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*BK Frem shown at home, Roskilde shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
BK Frem — last 5
DLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Roskilde — last 5
WDDWD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 71% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | BK Frem (home) | Roskilde (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-2-0 in 3 (1.7 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 71% |
Denmark Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.08
Home wins: 19%
Draws: 3%
Away wins: 78%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Denmark Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 3.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (20%) |
| Double chance — BK Frem or draw (1X) | 4% |
| Double chance — Roskilde or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| BK Frem clean sheet | 3% |
| Roskilde clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Roskilde is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Despite playing away, Roskilde edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ BK Frem vs Roskilde — FAQ
Who will win BK Frem vs Roskilde?
Our statistical model makes Roskilde the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: BK Frem 0%, draw 5%, Roskilde 94%.
Will both teams score in BK Frem vs Roskilde?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in BK Frem vs Roskilde?
Expected goals are 0.07 for BK Frem and 3.58 for Roskilde — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in BK Frem vs Roskilde?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (20%). Double chance for BK Frem or draw is 4%.