Blaj vs Progresul Spartac Prediction & Preview
Romania Cup · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ROMANIA CUP
Blaj vs Progresul Spartac
Model pick: Progresul Spartac (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.76 – 1.26
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Blaj | Progresul Spartac |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.33 / 1.33 | 2.33 / 0.67 |
*Blaj shown at home, Progresul Spartac shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Blaj — last 5
WWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Progresul Spartac — last 5
WWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Blaj (home) | Progresul Spartac (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Romania Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.66
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 8%
Away wins: 52%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Romania Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.76 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Blaj or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Progresul Spartac or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Blaj clean sheet | 28% |
| Progresul Spartac clean sheet | 47% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Progresul Spartac is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Progresul Spartac edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Blaj vs Progresul Spartac — FAQ
Who will win Blaj vs Progresul Spartac?
Our statistical model makes Progresul Spartac the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Blaj 24%, draw 30%, Progresul Spartac 46%.
Will both teams score in Blaj vs Progresul Spartac?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Blaj vs Progresul Spartac?
Expected goals are 0.76 for Blaj and 1.26 for Progresul Spartac — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Blaj vs Progresul Spartac?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Blaj or draw is 52%.