Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Prediction & Preview
Ligat Al (Israel) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGAT AL (ISRAEL)
Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Model pick: Bnei Sakhnin (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.03 – 1.02
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bnei Sakhnin | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
|---|
| League position | #5 (0 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Bnei Sakhnin shown at home, Maccabi Petah Tikva shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bnei Sakhnin — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Maccabi Petah Tikva — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bnei Sakhnin (home) | Maccabi Petah Tikva (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 45% |
Ligat Al (Israel) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligat Al (Israel) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.03 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Bnei Sakhnin or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Maccabi Petah Tikva or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Bnei Sakhnin clean sheet | 36% |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bnei Sakhnin is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Bnei Sakhnin are backed at home, where they average 0.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva — FAQ
Who will win Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
Our statistical model makes Bnei Sakhnin the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Bnei Sakhnin 35%, draw 31%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 34%.
Will both teams score in Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
Expected goals are 1.03 for Bnei Sakhnin and 1.02 for Maccabi Petah Tikva — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (14%). Double chance for Bnei Sakhnin or draw is 65%.