Bocholt vs Rodinghausen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bocholt vs Rodinghausen
Model pick: Bocholt (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.88 – 0.62
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bocholt | Rodinghausen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Bocholt shown at home, Rodinghausen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bocholt — last 5
WDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Rodinghausen — last 5
LWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bocholt (home) | Rodinghausen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 40% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.88 vs 0.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Bocholt or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Rodinghausen or draw (X2) | 32% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Bocholt clean sheet | 54% |
| Rodinghausen clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bocholt is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Bocholt are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bocholt vs Rodinghausen — FAQ
Who will win Bocholt vs Rodinghausen?
Our statistical model makes Bocholt the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Bocholt 63%, draw 23%, Rodinghausen 14%.
Will both teams score in Bocholt vs Rodinghausen?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bocholt vs Rodinghausen?
Expected goals are 1.88 for Bocholt and 0.62 for Rodinghausen — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bocholt vs Rodinghausen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Bocholt or draw is 89%.