Bodø / Glimt vs LASK Prediction & Preview
UEFA Champions League (Europe) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Bodø / Glimt vs LASK
Model pick: Bodø / Glimt (86%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.62 – 1.12
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bodø / Glimt | LASK |
|---|
| League position | #29 (0 pts) | #1 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 2.5 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.6 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.2 |
*Bodø / Glimt shown at home, LASK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bodø / Glimt — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 69% of home games go over 2.5.
LASK — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bodø / Glimt (home) | LASK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 53% |
| Top scorer | Jens Hauge (6) | – |
UEFA Champions League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.97
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 53%
Use these UEFA Champions League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.62 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Bodø / Glimt or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — LASK or draw (X2) | 10% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Bodø / Glimt clean sheet | 33% |
| LASK clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bodø / Glimt is the model's most likely outcome at
86%. Bodø / Glimt are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Bodø / Glimt vs LASK — FAQ
Who will win Bodø / Glimt vs LASK?
Our statistical model makes Bodø / Glimt the most likely result at 86%. Full probabilities: Bodø / Glimt 86%, draw 8%, LASK 6%.
Will both teams score in Bodø / Glimt vs LASK?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bodø / Glimt vs LASK?
Expected goals are 4.62 for Bodø / Glimt and 1.12 for LASK — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bodø / Glimt vs LASK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for Bodø / Glimt or draw is 96%.