Bodø / Glimt vs NEC Prediction & Preview
UEFA Champions League (Europe) · Aug 25, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Bodø / Glimt vs NEC
Model pick: Bodø / Glimt (68%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.39 – 0.69
Total goals: 5.1
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bodø / Glimt | NEC |
|---|
| League position | #23 (9 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.8 | 4.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Bodø / Glimt shown at home, NEC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bodø / Glimt — last 5
WDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
NEC — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bodø / Glimt (home) | NEC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-2 in 4 (1.8 / 1.8 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Jens Hauge (6) | – |
UEFA Champions League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.86
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these UEFA Champions League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.39 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Bodø / Glimt or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — NEC or draw (X2) | 7% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Bodø / Glimt clean sheet | 50% |
| NEC clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bodø / Glimt is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Bodø / Glimt are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.1, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Bodø / Glimt vs NEC — FAQ
Who will win Bodø / Glimt vs NEC?
Our statistical model makes Bodø / Glimt the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Bodø / Glimt 68%, draw 17%, NEC 15%.
Will both teams score in Bodø / Glimt vs NEC?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bodø / Glimt vs NEC?
Expected goals are 4.39 for Bodø / Glimt and 0.69 for NEC — about 5.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bodø / Glimt vs NEC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (10%). Double chance for Bodø / Glimt or draw is 98%.