Bodø / Glimt vs Rosenborg Prediction & Preview
Eliteserien (Norway) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ELITESERIEN (NORWAY)
Bodø / Glimt vs Rosenborg
Model pick: Bodø / Glimt (67%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.49 – 1.15
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bodø / Glimt | Rosenborg |
|---|
| League position | #23 (9 pts) | #7 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.4 | 3.8 / 0.8 |
*Bodø / Glimt shown at home, Rosenborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bodø / Glimt — last 5
WDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
Rosenborg — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bodø / Glimt (home) | Rosenborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-2 in 4 (1.8 / 1.8 goals per game) | 2-1-5 in 8 (0.9 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Jens Hauge (6) | – |
Eliteserien (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Eliteserien (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.49 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Bodø / Glimt or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Rosenborg or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Bodø / Glimt clean sheet | 32% |
| Rosenborg clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bodø / Glimt is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Bodø / Glimt are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bodø / Glimt vs Rosenborg — FAQ
Who will win Bodø / Glimt vs Rosenborg?
Our statistical model makes Bodø / Glimt the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Bodø / Glimt 67%, draw 18%, Rosenborg 15%.
Will both teams score in Bodø / Glimt vs Rosenborg?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bodø / Glimt vs Rosenborg?
Expected goals are 2.49 for Bodø / Glimt and 1.15 for Rosenborg — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bodø / Glimt vs Rosenborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Bodø / Glimt or draw is 84%.