Boden vs Gottne Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Boden vs Gottne
Model pick: Draw (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.32 – 0.16
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 8%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Boden | Gottne |
|---|
| League position | #4 (17 pts) | #2 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 67% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
*Boden shown at home, Gottne shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Boden — last 5
LW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Gottne — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Boden (home) | Gottne (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-2 in 6 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 4-0-2 in 6 (2.3 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.32 vs 0.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (62%) |
| Double chance — Boden or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Gottne or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 35% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Boden clean sheet | 85% |
| Gottne clean sheet | 73% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (92% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Boden vs Gottne — FAQ
Who will win Boden vs Gottne?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Boden 26%, draw 61%, Gottne 14%.
Will both teams score in Boden vs Gottne?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Boden vs Gottne?
Expected goals are 0.32 for Boden and 0.16 for Gottne — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Boden vs Gottne?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (62%). Double chance for Boden or draw is 89%.