Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec
Model pick: Bohemians 1905 (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.26
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bohemians 1905 | Jablonec |
|---|
| League position | #9 (4 pts) | #2 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
*Bohemians 1905 shown at home, Jablonec shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bohemians 1905 — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Jablonec — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bohemians 1905 (home) | Jablonec (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 46% |
| Top scorer | – | Jan Chramosta (6) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Bohemians 1905 or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Jablonec or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Bohemians 1905 clean sheet | 28% |
| Jablonec clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bohemians 1905 is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Bohemians 1905 are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec — FAQ
Who will win Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?
Our statistical model makes Bohemians 1905 the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Bohemians 1905 36%, draw 28%, Jablonec 36%.
Will both teams score in Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Bohemians 1905 and 1.26 for Jablonec — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bohemians 1905 vs Jablonec?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Bohemians 1905 or draw is 60%.