Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ireland) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRELAND)
Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers
Model pick: Bohemians (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bohemians | Sligo Rovers |
|---|
| League position | #3 (47 pts) | #10 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 14% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Bohemians shown at home, Sligo Rovers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bohemians — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Sligo Rovers — last 5
DDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bohemians (home) | Sligo Rovers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-6-3 in 14 (1.6 / 1.3 goals per game) | 2-3-9 in 14 (0.6 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 54% |
Premier League (Ireland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Premier League (Ireland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.72 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Bohemians or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Sligo Rovers or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Bohemians clean sheet | 38% |
| Sligo Rovers clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bohemians is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Bohemians are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers — FAQ
Who will win Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
Our statistical model makes Bohemians the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Bohemians 64%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 15%.
Will both teams score in Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
Expected goals are 1.72 for Bohemians and 0.97 for Sligo Rovers — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Bohemians or draw is 79%.