Boljan vs Astorps Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Boljan vs Astorps
Model pick: Astorps (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.86 – 0.71
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Boljan | Astorps |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
*Boljan shown at home, Astorps shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Boljan — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Astorps — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Boljan (home) | Astorps (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.86 vs 0.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Boljan or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Astorps or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Boljan clean sheet | 49% |
| Astorps clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Astorps is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Astorps edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Boljan vs Astorps — FAQ
Who will win Boljan vs Astorps?
Our statistical model makes Astorps the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Boljan 33%, draw 28%, Astorps 39%.
Will both teams score in Boljan vs Astorps?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Boljan vs Astorps?
Expected goals are 0.86 for Boljan and 0.71 for Astorps — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Boljan vs Astorps?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (21%). Double chance for Boljan or draw is 72%.