Boluspor vs Mardin 1969 Prediction & Preview
Lig A (Turkey) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIG A (TURKEY)
Boluspor vs Mardin 1969
Model pick: Draw (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.05 – 0.49
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 10%
Both teams score: 14%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Boluspor | Mardin 1969 |
|---|
| League position | #19 (0 pts) | #7 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 0.67 / 0.33 |
*Boluspor shown at home, Mardin 1969 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Boluspor — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Mardin 1969 — last 5
LDW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Boluspor (home) | Mardin 1969 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 0% |
| Top scorer | Dogan Davas (11) | – |
Lig A (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Lig A (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.05 vs 0.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (58%) |
| Double chance — Boluspor or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Mardin 1969 or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 40% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Boluspor clean sheet | 61% |
| Mardin 1969 clean sheet | 95% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (90% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Boluspor vs Mardin 1969 — FAQ
Who will win Boluspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Boluspor 4%, draw 57%, Mardin 1969 38%.
Will both teams score in Boluspor vs Mardin 1969?
The model gives a 14% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Boluspor vs Mardin 1969?
Expected goals are 0.05 for Boluspor and 0.49 for Mardin 1969 — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Boluspor vs Mardin 1969?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (58%). Double chance for Boluspor or draw is 63%.