Bonner vs Bochum II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bonner vs Bochum II
Model pick: Bochum II (88%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.76 – 10.69
Total goals: 14.4
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bonner | Bochum II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Bonner shown at home, Bochum II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bonner — last 5
LLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Bochum II — last 5
WWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bonner (home) | Bochum II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.76 vs 10.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-8 (8%) |
| Double chance — Bonner or draw (1X) | 13% |
| Double chance — Bochum II or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Bonner clean sheet | 0% |
| Bochum II clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bochum II is the model's most likely outcome at
88%. Despite playing away, Bochum II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bonner vs Bochum II — FAQ
Who will win Bonner vs Bochum II?
Our statistical model makes Bochum II the most likely result at 88%. Full probabilities: Bonner 6%, draw 6%, Bochum II 88%.
Will both teams score in Bonner vs Bochum II?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bonner vs Bochum II?
Expected goals are 3.76 for Bonner and 10.69 for Bochum II — about 14.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bonner vs Bochum II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-8 (8%). Double chance for Bonner or draw is 13%.