Bonner vs Lotte Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Bonner vs Lotte
Model pick: Bonner (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.73 – 0.19
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 27%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bonner | Lotte |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.4 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
*Bonner shown at home, Lotte shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bonner — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lotte — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bonner (home) | Lotte (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.73 vs 0.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (40%) |
| Double chance — Bonner or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Lotte or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 54% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Bonner clean sheet | 83% |
| Lotte clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bonner is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Bonner are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bonner vs Lotte — FAQ
Who will win Bonner vs Lotte?
Our statistical model makes Bonner the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Bonner 45%, draw 44%, Lotte 11%.
Will both teams score in Bonner vs Lotte?
The model gives a 27% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bonner vs Lotte?
Expected goals are 0.73 for Bonner and 0.19 for Lotte — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bonner vs Lotte?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (40%). Double chance for Bonner or draw is 91%.